March 2008

Rally Nats

Is there a patron Saint of oft-injured firstbasemen looking out for Nick Johnson right now? He's totally zeroed-in right now, hitting the ball as well as he ever has. He stung that ninth-inning double. Back-to-back Comeback Player of the Year Awards for the Nats may be in the works.

Lastings Milledge was impressive at the plate today with a two-run, two-out HR in the sixth and a rally-starting single in the ninth. He got a bad jump on Chase Utley's single in the fourth and I think that defense is going to be his issue this year. Also, you gotta slide, son.

Can someone please get Paul Lo Duca one of those gloves that Paul Richards invented to catch Hoyt Wilhelm. I'm hoping that by mid-season Jesus Flores has won the starting catchers job.

All Saul Rivera seems to do is pitch pretty well. Matt Chico looked decent despite throwing a lot of pitches.

Elsewhere...

I don't know who I'd rather have blowing saves for me today: Kerry Wood or Eric Gagne.

Kosuke Fukudome: Instant ramen is gonna get you. Gonna knock you right on the head. You better get yourself together. Pretty soon he's gonna be a legend in Chicago.

Ugly game between the Indians and White Sox. Mark Buehrle threw a round of batting practice in the second inning. Cleveland eked it out in their new uniforms.

The Johan Santana era for the Mets is kicking off in style. Will be fun to watch him pitch against the Nats.

Taking On The Cheese Steaks

The Cheese Steaks, that's my new name for the Phillies.

How did Brett Myers get the opening day nod over Cole Hamels? Myers looked great in spring training, but Hamels is the Cheese Steaks' #1 starter. Maybe it has something to do with how the early part of the schedule shakes out of Philadelphia.

Nats were 6-12 against Philly last year, with 3-6 splits on the home and the road. Myers was 1-0 with 4 saves and the Nats managed just 5 singles, two walks and zero runs against him in 9 innings. As a starter in 2006, however, Myers went 2-2 with a 6.59 ERA against D.C., yielding 20 runs, 33 hits and 10 walks in 27.3 innings. Let's hope he returns to 2006 form today.

From my co-worker Geoff (a Jersey native and resident who is inexplicably an Oakland A's fan): "Nats in 1st, snap a picture of the standings."

Nice knowing you Elijah Dukes. I suspect he will be back after the DL stint and perhaps a rehab assignment in Harrisburg or Columbus. Hopefully it's just a minor set-back and it doesn't angry up Elijah's blood.

I don't think I can read another article about the new stadium. I love the coverage, but I'm jealous that I wasn't there last night. It's 54 days until I see the place in person.

Watching the Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers on MLB.TV right now. Tigers have such a sick line-up. They will be fun to watch this year.

Clutch Zimmerman

Gotta love Ryan Zimmerman. He has 45 career home runs and 5 are walk-off jobs. I take back my comment about him not having "enough power" for such a long stroke. He's got power, not Ryan Braun power, but enough.

Paul Lo Duca needs to move his feet.

Kudos to Saul Rivera for a strong outing and Ray "Burger" King for not blowing it.

Was that the first time a new stadium has ever opened with a walk-off home run?

Early Game 1 Thoughts

My dad called me right before the game started and I rushed him off the phone so I could watch the opening ceremonies. We'll talk later in the game though.

Stadium looks great, but it's difficult to tell much of anything about it from the TV. I watched games from Jacobs Field for a decade before I ever set foot in the stadium and I was amazed when I finally went to a game there. The stadium is practically quaint. The typical camera view, however, makes it look much bigger and does the park no justice.

Nick Johnson: Interesting to note that Johnson is the only position player on the 40-man roster who played for the Montreal Expos (Luis Avaya, Chad Cordero and Jon Rauch all donned the Los Expos uniform as well). Nick looked great running the bases and you can tell he shed some weight. Loved the aggressiveness on the paths. Dmitri Young may end up being a $10 million insurance policy and little else. I was at the game where Nick broke his leg, so it's a real pleasure to see him back in action.

Christian Guzman: Picking up where he left off last season. Christian was devastated last year when he was injured again and it increasingly appears that 2005 was simply an aberration.

Ryan Zimmerman: Zim needs to cut down on his Ks, especially now that he's beginning his third full season. He doesn't hit for enough power to have such a long stroke. Btw, I noticed that Ryan was wearing Under Armour batting gloves. So we had a player who went to college in Virginia, playing baseball in D.C., wearing equipment made by a Maryland-based company. Metroplex in da house.

Paul Lo Duca: I swear he played on my softball team last year. Hands down my least favorite player on the Nats. Prove me wrong.

Odalis Perez: Chipper Jones should have crushed that batting practice fastball. I have a feeling he'll be gone by July 1st. Nice pick-off.

Austin Kearns: He's never lived up to expectations, so maybe the prospect of having to compete with Milledge, Dukes and Pena has lit a fire under his ***. I like Kearns because he hustles all the time and plays smart. Great play off the Brian McCann ball off the wall and a nice relay from Ronnie Belliard.

Lastings Milledge: He looked pretty woeful at the beginning of his first at-bat. Bat speed looked horrible. I did like the fact that he flashed a smile on the way back to the dugout (an acknowledgment that he screwed up by not putting the ball in play) and was up on the dugout steps watching the rest of the inning.

Manny Acta: Is it my imagination or is he beginning to look like Terry Francona? If he has the same success as Francona has had in Boston you won't hear any complaints.

Denyce Graves: A big thank you to the Lerners for bringing out some real hometown talent to due the National Anthem honors. I'm tired of seeing American Idol cast offs whom I've never heard of singing the toughest song out there.

President George W. Bush: The nicest thing I could ever saw about Dubya is that he has the best arm of any President, ever. Maybe he should take a **** test.

2008 Brooklyn Superbas

My fantasy team. No Nats unfortunately. I had Lastings Milledge and Nick Johnson on the radar, but they were snapped up before I had the opportunity. This is a head-to-head keep league with baseline stats. Guthrie or Gorzelanny will most likely be dropped when Kazmir comes off the DL. Team is pitching heavy, which is fine by me because I've never had an issue with picking up offense as the season goes on. I'm hoping Soto proves to be some good trade bait.

C - Victor Martinez (CLE)
1B - James Loney (LAD)
2B - Robinson Cano (NYY)
3B - David Wright (NYM)
SS - Michael Young (TEX)
OF - Jeff Francoeur (ATL)
OF - Rick Ankiel (STL)
OF - Shane Victorino (PHI)
OF - Pat Burrell (PHI)
UTI - J.J. Hardy (MIL)
Bench - Geovany Soto (CHC)
Bench - Delmon Young (MIN)
Bench - Matt Diaz (ATL)

SP - Jack Peavy (SD)
SP - Brad Penny (LAD)
SP - Roy Oswalt (HOU)
P - Rich Harden (OAK)
P - Mark Buehrle (CWS)
RP - Jonathan Papelbon (BOS)
RP - Bobby Jenks (CHW)
RP - George Sherrill (BAL)
Bench - Tom Gorzelanny (PIT)
Bench - Jeremy Guthrie (BAL)
DL - Scott Kazmir (TB)

The New Era Begins

rfk_nats.jpgI am having a difficult time containing my excitement today. It's not just Opening Day in my hometown, but the Nationals are beginning a new era with the official opening of Nationals Park.

To say that I wish I could be in D.C. tonight is an understatement. I'm borderline depressed over the fact that I can't be among the first fans to take in a game at the new stadium. I won't get my chance to the new park in person until Memorial Day weekend (when I'm attending three games in three days). Until then, I'll be forced to watch games on TV and online.

The picture above is from the only time I've been able to see the Nats in person in D.C. My family and I celebrated my thirtieth birthday and my father's sixtieth birthday with a trip to RFK in May 2005. The Nats won a rain-delayed game 4-3 thanks to a solid outing from Livan Hernandez and a four-run, fourth-inning rally that send Carlos Zambrano to the showers early (Vinny Castilla led the charge with a two-run single).

Although I've only seen one Nats home game, I've seen the team play at least twice every season against the Mets at Shea Stadium (coach Jerry Morales flipped me a ball following batting practice at a game last year because I was the only fan around rocking Nats gear). I'll be back at Shea this season being a Nats fan in diaspora.

My expectations for the Nats this year are simple: Continue to improve and develop Major League talent.

I am on board with the plan put in place by Jim Bowden and the Lerner family. I would rather see them build a successful organization from within than spend money on older players who have come up through other systems. I believe the Nationals can create "The Nats Way" in much the same order that the Orioles famously fostered player development and organizational loyalty in the 1960s, 1970s and early 1980s.

I care nothing about the Nationals win-loss record this year. I want to see Ryan Zimmerman continue to establish himself as the cornerstone of the franchise; young pitchers such as Matt Chico and Joel Hanrahan advance their development; outfielders Lastings Milledge, Elijah Dukes and Willy Mo Pena prove their detractors wrong (and for Dukes to improve himself as a person) and for Nick Johnson to stay healthy while posting an obscene OBP figure.

In my professional life, I spend my hours each day analyzing data and trying to find trends and making projections. I take a quantitative and qualitative approach to my work and I do much the same when looking at the Nats. I'm a long-term focused investor and sports fan, so the organic growth of the organization is more important to me than the short-term results.

I'm going long the Nationals (there's value to be had) and I placing a long-term short bet on the Mets and Phillies (the teams will peak this season or next). The Braves, for better or worse, are my income-generating bet (solid, predictable performance).

In conclusion: Let's Go Nats!